Planificación y pronósticos en Economía & Negocios y finanzas eBooks

Fluke

Chance, Chaos, and Why Everything We Do Matters

de Brian Klaas ...

This “captivating illustration of the follies of trying to model and forecast the unpredictable world” (Financial Times) is both “empowering” (The New Statesman, UK) and “compelling” (New Scientist) as it challenges our most fundamental assumptions—by social scientist and Atlantic writer Brian Klaas, whom Prospect magazine has named one of the world’s “Top 25 Thinkers.”If you could rewind your ... Leer más

$14.99 USD

This “captivating illustration of the follies of trying to model and forecast the unpredictable world” (Financial Times) is both “empowering” (The New Statesman, UK) and “compelling” (New Scientist) as it challenges our most fundamental assumptions—by social scientist and Atlantic writer Brian Klaas, whom Prospect magazine has named one of the world’s “Top 25 Thinkers.”If you could rewind your
... Leer más
Superforecasting

The Art and Science of Prediction

de Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner ...

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST“The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people ... Leer más

$8.99 USD

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST“The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people
... Leer más
The End of Average

How We Succeed in a World That Values Sameness

de Todd Rose ...

Are you above average? Is your child an A student? Is your employee an introvert or an extrovert? Every day we are measured against the yardstick of averages, judged according to how closely we come to it or how far we deviate from it.The assumption that metrics comparing us to an average—like GPAs, personality test results, and performance review ratings—reveal something meaningful about our ... Leer más

Antes $10.99 USD Ahora $2.99 USD

Are you above average? Is your child an A student? Is your employee an introvert or an extrovert? Every day we are measured against the yardstick of averages, judged according to how closely we come to it or how far we deviate from it.The assumption that metrics comparing us to an average—like GPAs, personality test results, and performance review ratings—reveal something meaningful about our
... Leer más
Predictive Statistics

Analysis and Inference beyond Models

de Bertrand S. Clarke, Jennifer L. Clarke ...

Series Libro 46 - Cambridge Series in Statistical and Probabilistic Mathematics
All scientific disciplines prize predictive success. Conventional statistical analyses, however, treat prediction as secondary, instead focusing on modeling and hence estimation, testing, and detailed physical interpretation, tackling these tasks before the predictive adequacy of a model is established. This book outlines a fully predictive approach to statistical problems based on studying ... Leer más

$90.19 USD

All scientific disciplines prize predictive success. Conventional statistical analyses, however, treat prediction as secondary, instead focusing on modeling and hence estimation, testing, and detailed physical interpretation, tackling these tasks before the predictive adequacy of a model is established. This book outlines a fully predictive approach to statistical problems based on studying
... Leer más
Forecasting for Economics and Business

de Gloria González-Rivera ...

For junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics.A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting.Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and ... Leer más

$265.99 USD

For junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics.A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting.Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and
... Leer más
The Signal and the Noise

Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

de Nate Silver ...

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty that explains how to make better predictions in a world drowning in data, from the nation’s foremost political forecaster—updated with insights into the pandemic, journalism today, and pollingOne of The Wall Street Journal’s Ten Best Works of Nonfiction of the Year“Could turn out to be one of the more ... Leer más

$9.99 USD

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The groundbreaking exploration of probability and uncertainty that explains how to make better predictions in a world drowning in data, from the nation’s foremost political forecaster—updated with insights into the pandemic, journalism today, and pollingOne of The Wall Street Journal’s Ten Best Works of Nonfiction of the Year“Could turn out to be one of the more
... Leer más
The End of the World is Just the Beginning

Mapping the Collapse of Globalization

de Peter Zeihan ...

A New York Times Bestseller!2019 was the last great year for the globalized world economy.For generations, everything has been getting faster, better, and cheaper. Finally, we reached the point that almost anything you could ever want could be sent to your home within days - even hours - of when you decided you wanted it.America made that happen, but now America has lost interest in keeping it ... Leer más

$11.99 USD

A New York Times Bestseller!2019 was the last great year for the globalized world economy.For generations, everything has been getting faster, better, and cheaper. Finally, we reached the point that almost anything you could ever want could be sent to your home within days - even hours - of when you decided you wanted it.America made that happen, but now America has lost interest in keeping it
... Leer más
The Next 100 Years

A Forecast for the 21st Century

de George Friedman ...

“Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world.” —George FriedmanIn his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future—offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during ... Leer más

$9.99 USD

“Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world.” —George FriedmanIn his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future—offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during
... Leer más
The Next Decade

Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going

de George Friedman ...

The author of the acclaimed New York Times bestseller The Next 100 Years now focuses his geopolitical forecasting acumen on the next decade and the imminent events and challenges that will test America and the world, specifically addressing the skills that will be required by the decade’s leaders.In the long view, history is seen as a series of events—but the course of those events is determined ... Leer más

$5.99 USD

The author of the acclaimed New York Times bestseller The Next 100 Years now focuses his geopolitical forecasting acumen on the next decade and the imminent events and challenges that will test America and the world, specifically addressing the skills that will be required by the decade’s leaders.In the long view, history is seen as a series of events—but the course of those events is determined
... Leer más
On the Edge

The Art of Risking Everything

de Nate Silver ...

**The Instant New York Times Bestseller“Engaging and entertaining… a glimpse of the economy of the future.” —Tim Wu, New York Times Book ReviewFrom the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, the definitive guide to our era of risk—and the players raising the stakes**In a world wired for chaos, these players are rewriting the rules. High-stakes, high-IQ, and often high on ... Leer más

$9.99 USD

**The Instant New York Times Bestseller“Engaging and entertaining… a glimpse of the economy of the future.” —Tim Wu, New York Times Book ReviewFrom the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, the definitive guide to our era of risk—and the players raising the stakes**In a world wired for chaos, these players are rewriting the rules. High-stakes, high-IQ, and often high on
... Leer más
Currency Wars

The Making of the Next Global Crisis

de James Rickards ...

Dive into the gripping world of international ecocomics through American lawyer, investment banker, media commentator, and author, James G. Rickards's expertise and thought-provoking insights.From collapsed paper currencies and hidden agendas of soveriegn wealth funds to the very real threats of national security, James G. Rickards scrutinizes the history and disastrous outcomes of currency wars, ... Leer más

$11.99 USD

Dive into the gripping world of international ecocomics through American lawyer, investment banker, media commentator, and author, James G. Rickards's expertise and thought-provoking insights.From collapsed paper currencies and hidden agendas of soveriegn wealth funds to the very real threats of national security, James G. Rickards scrutinizes the history and disastrous outcomes of currency wars,
... Leer más
The WSJ Guide to the 50 Economic Indicators That Really Matter

From Big Macs to "Zombie Banks," the Indicators Smart Investors Watch to Beat the Market

de Simon Constable, Robert E. Wright ...

Series Libro 2 - Wall Street Journal Guides
A wonderfully irreverent and endlessly entertaining guide—with more than 80,000 copies sold worldwide in multiple languages—about the indicators most investors aren't following, but should be!In order to make the best possible investment decisions, savvy investors know that they must pay close attention to economic indicators. But while most are looking at conventional barometers like unemployment ... Leer más

$9.49 USD

A wonderfully irreverent and endlessly entertaining guide—with more than 80,000 copies sold worldwide in multiple languages—about the indicators most investors aren't following, but should be!In order to make the best possible investment decisions, savvy investors know that they must pay close attention to economic indicators. But while most are looking at conventional barometers like unemployment
... Leer más
Everything Is Obvious

*Once You Know the Answer

de Duncan J. Watts ...

By understanding how and when common sense fails, we can improve our understanding of the present and better plan for the future.Drawing on the latest scientific research, along with a wealth of historical and contemporary examples, Watts shows how common sense reasoning and history conspire to mislead us into believing that we understand more about the world of human behavior than we do; and in ... Leer más

Antes $8.99 USD Ahora $4.99 USD

By understanding how and when common sense fails, we can improve our understanding of the present and better plan for the future.Drawing on the latest scientific research, along with a wealth of historical and contemporary examples, Watts shows how common sense reasoning and history conspire to mislead us into believing that we understand more about the world of human behavior than we do; and in
... Leer más
The Great Stagnation

How America Ate All The Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better: A Penguin eSpecial from Dutton

de Tyler Cowen ...

Tyler Cowen’s controversial New York Times bestseller—the book heard round the world that ignited a firestorm of debate and redefined the nature of America’s economic malaise.America has been through the biggest financial crisis since the great Depression, unemployment numbers are frightening, media wages have been flat since the 1970s, and it is common to expect that things will get worse before ... Leer más

$14.99 USD

Tyler Cowen’s controversial New York Times bestseller—the book heard round the world that ignited a firestorm of debate and redefined the nature of America’s economic malaise.America has been through the biggest financial crisis since the great Depression, unemployment numbers are frightening, media wages have been flat since the 1970s, and it is common to expect that things will get worse before
... Leer más
Thinking

The New Science of Decision-Making, Problem-Solving, and Prediction in Life and Markets

de John Brockman ...

Series Libro 6 - Best of Edge Series
Unlock your mind. From the bestselling authors of Thinking, Fastand Slow; The Black Swan; and Stumblingon Happiness comes a cutting-edge exploration of the mysteriesof rational thought, decision-making, intuition, morality, willpower,problem-solving, prediction, forecasting, unconscious behavior, and beyond.Edited by John Brockman, publisher of Edge.org ("The world's s... ... Leer más

Antes $11.99 USD Ahora $9.99 USD

Unlock your mind. From the bestselling authors of Thinking, Fastand Slow; The Black Swan; and Stumblingon Happiness comes a cutting-edge exploration of the mysteriesof rational thought, decision-making, intuition, morality, willpower,problem-solving, prediction, forecasting, unconscious behavior, and beyond.Edited by John Brockman, publisher of Edge.org ("The world's s...
... Leer más
COMO IMPLANTAR ISO 9001:2015 PASO A PASO

Formatos de Procedimientos y Registros para cumplir los Requisitos. Compresión de cada Requisito. Preguntas y Respuestas para Defender la Auditoría Externa. Cuadro de Mando para Mantener Actualizado el Sistema de Gestión.

de Iván Torres Vega ...

El presente libro representa una herramienta completamente práctica a la hora de implantar la norma UNE-EN-ISO 9001:2015 en cualquier tipo de organización. ¿Por qué es el más caro? Porque ofrecemos mucho más que nadie.Contiene un MATERIAL DESCARGABLE ALTAMENTE valioso en el que se encuentran:-Formatos editables de procedimientos de trabajo destinados al cumplimiento de los requisitos de la ... ... Leer más

$52.43 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

El presente libro representa una herramienta completamente práctica a la hora de implantar la norma UNE-EN-ISO 9001:2015 en cualquier tipo de organización. ¿Por qué es el más caro? Porque ofrecemos mucho más que nadie.Contiene un MATERIAL DESCARGABLE ALTAMENTE valioso en el que se encuentran:-Formatos editables de procedimientos de trabajo destinados al cumplimiento de los requisitos de la ...
... Leer más
Flowcasting | See Your Money Future Clearly Today | Change It Now for a Better Tomorrow | The Must-Have Money Management, Planning, Budgeting, Mapping Tool and Practical Skill to Succeed Financially.

de Richard Conner ...

If having the mindset, skills, and tools to see your money future clearly today so that you can change it now for a better tomorrow is valuable to you, and it ought to be if you want to build a business, live the life of your dreams, or realise your vision sooner rather than later without losing your shirt, then Flowcasting™ is definitely for you.HuffPost includes bad budgeting and overspending ... Leer más

$14.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

If having the mindset, skills, and tools to see your money future clearly today so that you can change it now for a better tomorrow is valuable to you, and it ought to be if you want to build a business, live the life of your dreams, or realise your vision sooner rather than later without losing your shirt, then Flowcasting™ is definitely for you.HuffPost includes bad budgeting and overspending
... Leer más
Thinking about the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight (2nd edition)

de Andy Hines ...

Thinking about the Future, by Andy Hines and Peter Bishop, distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. The 115 guidelines ... Leer más

$6.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

Thinking about the Future, by Andy Hines and Peter Bishop, distills the expertise of three dozen senior foresight professionals into a set of essential guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight. Presented in a highly scannable yet personable style, each guideline includes an explanation and rationale, key steps, a case example, and resources for further study. The 115 guidelines
... Leer más
The Most Important Thing Illuminated

Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor

de Howard Marks ...

Howard Marks's The Most Important Thing distilled the investing insight of his celebrated client memos into a single volume and, for the first time, made his time-tested philosophy available to general readers. In this edition, Marks's wisdom is joined by the comments, insights, and counterpoints of four renowned investors and investment educators: Christopher C. Davis (Davis Funds), Joel ... Leer más

$20.89 USD

Howard Marks's The Most Important Thing distilled the investing insight of his celebrated client memos into a single volume and, for the first time, made his time-tested philosophy available to general readers. In this edition, Marks's wisdom is joined by the comments, insights, and counterpoints of four renowned investors and investment educators: Christopher C. Davis (Davis Funds), Joel
... Leer más
Your Personal Horoscope 2011

Month-by-month Forecasts for Every Sign

de Joseph Polansky ...

Your complete one-volume guide to the year 2011. This fantastic and in depth book includes month-by-month forecasts for every sign and all you need to know to find out what is in store for you in the year ahead.Discover when your lucky days will fall and when it might be better just to stay in bed, with your complete one-volume, month-by-month guide to the year 2011 – the only horoscope you will ... Leer más

$0.99 USD

Your complete one-volume guide to the year 2011. This fantastic and in depth book includes month-by-month forecasts for every sign and all you need to know to find out what is in store for you in the year ahead.Discover when your lucky days will fall and when it might be better just to stay in bed, with your complete one-volume, month-by-month guide to the year 2011 – the only horoscope you will
... Leer más
The Predictioneer's Game

Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future

de Bruce Bueno De Mesquita ...

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major ... Leer más

$11.99 USD

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major
... Leer más
Big Bang Disruption

Strategy in the Age of Devastating Innovation

de Larry Downes, Paul Nunes ...

It used to take years or even decades for disruptive innovations to dethrone dominant products and services. But now any business can be devastated virtually overnight by something better and cheaper. How can executives protect themselves and harness the power of Big Bang Disruption?Just a few years ago, drivers happily spent more than $200 for a GPS unit. But as smartphones exploded in popularity ... Leer más

$4.99 USD

It used to take years or even decades for disruptive innovations to dethrone dominant products and services. But now any business can be devastated virtually overnight by something better and cheaper. How can executives protect themselves and harness the power of Big Bang Disruption?Just a few years ago, drivers happily spent more than $200 for a GPS unit. But as smartphones exploded in popularity
... Leer más
The Art of the Long View

Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World

de Peter Schwartz ...

What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life—bottom-line numbers, for instance—but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories—scenarios—and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles.In The Art of the Long View, now with the ... Leer más

$10.99 USD

What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life—bottom-line numbers, for instance—but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories—scenarios—and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles.In The Art of the Long View, now with the
... Leer más
The Systems Thinker

The Systems Thinker Series, #1

de Albert Rutherford ...

Series Libro 1 - The Systems Thinker Series
The second edition is now available!Find the optimal solutions to your problems. Gain a deep understanding of the "what, why, how, when, how much" questions of your life.Become a Systems Thinker and discover how to approach your life from a completely new perspective.What is systems thinking? Put it simply, thinking about how things interact with one another.Why should this matter to you? Because ... Leer más

$5.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

The second edition is now available!Find the optimal solutions to your problems. Gain a deep understanding of the "what, why, how, when, how much" questions of your life.Become a Systems Thinker and discover how to approach your life from a completely new perspective.What is systems thinking? Put it simply, thinking about how things interact with one another.Why should this matter to you? Because
... Leer más

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