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1 - 12 de 12 resultados para “philip e tetlock”
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  • Superforecasting

    The Art and Science of Prediction

    de Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner ...
    NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST“The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people ... Leer más

    $8.99 USD

  • Expert Political Judgment

    How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

    de Philip E. Tetlock ...
    Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions ... Leer más

    $20.19 USD

  • HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

    de Harvard Business Review, Robert S. Kaplan, Condoleezza Rice, Philip E. Tetlock, Paul J. H. Schoemaker ...
    Series series HBR's 10 Must Reads
    Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business Review articles and selected the most important ones to help your company make smart decisions and thrive, even when the future is unclear.This book will inspire you to:Avoid the most common errors in risk ... Leer más

    $17.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

  • Comment être visionnaire

    de Dan Gardner, Philip E. Tetlock ...
    Traducido por François Tharaud ...
    " Les techniques et les façons de penser exposées dans ce livre sont précieuses pour quiconque s'intéresse à ce que l'avenir nous réserve. En d'autres termes, pour tout le monde. " The EconomistTout le monde aimerait connaître l'avenir pour prendre les bonnes décisions politiques, économiques, ou pour lancer un nouveau produit.Malheureusement, nous avons tendance à être de piètres prévisionnistes. ... Leer más

    $19.99 USD

  • Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

    Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives

    Edición de Philip E. Tetlock, Aaron Belkin ...
    Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett ... Leer más

    $58.99 USD

  • Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose

    de Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner ...
    Traducido por Jürgen Neubauer ...
    Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine Anleitung für treffsichere Prognosen in einer unsicheren Zeit.»Superforecaster« sind Menschen, denen erstaunlich gute Vorhersagen in allen Bereichen gelingen – bessere als den Experten. Was macht sie so besonders? In einem ... Leer más

    $15.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

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  • The Power of Beliefs

    How Strengthening Seven Core Beliefs Predicts Greater Success and a Better Life

    de Shawn Achor ...
    NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The internationally bestselling author of The Happiness Advantage and Big Potential illuminates how harnessing our beliefs can influence our success in the real world.Same world. Different beliefs. Different outcomes.The greatest predictor of your future is the beliefs you hold about the world. In this extraordinary book, world-renowned researcher and author Shawn Achor ... Leer más

    $13.99 USD

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

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  • How to Be a Dissident

    de Gal Beckerman ...
    An invigorating guide to fighting back—part philosophy, part history, and part manual for living with integrity in an age of conformity and authoritarian driftHow do we push back in a world where political leaders wield fear and intimidation? Where digital technology dehumanizes and flattens us? We need role models, and in this engaging book, acclaimed writer Gal Beckerman goes looking for them. ... Leer más

    $12.99 USD

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

  • The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

    General Thinking Concepts

    de Shane Parrish, Rhiannon Beaubien ...
    Series Libro 1 - The Great Mental Models Series
    Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast.This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you.Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger ... Leer más

    $15.99 USD

  • Chain of Ideas

    The Origins of Our Authoritarian Age

    de Ibram X. Kendi ...
    **NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The acclaimed author of How to Be an Antiracist and the National Book Award winner Stamped from the Beginning charts how “great replacement theory” has become a dominant political idea of our time and ushered in an antidemocratic age.“Kendi argues brilliantly that we must work across race and class lines to eradicate social ills and eliminate fascism.”—Los Angeles ... Leer más

    $13.99 USD

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

  • What We Value

    The Neuroscience of Choice and Change

    de Emily Falk ...
    **“A captivating must-read for anyone who aspires to learn and grow.” —Katy Milkman, author of How to ChangeA neuroscientist reveals the hidden calculations that shape our daily decisions—and how to make more fulfilling, impactful choices in our work, relationships, and lives.**With so many competing priorities pulling us in different directions every day—family, friends, work, our health—it can ... Leer más

    $13.69 USD

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

  • How to AI

    Cut Through the Hype. Master the Basics. Transform Your Work.

    de Christopher Mims ...
    **A frank, hands-on guide to using AI at work, unpacking for the curious and skeptical alike the “24 Laws” of AI and revealing strategies that businesses of every size can use to free up time, innovate, and add to the bottom line—from a Wall Street Journal tech columnist“The antidote to AI panic. Read it. You’ll breathe easier.”—Scott Galloway, NYU Stern School of Business professor and co-host of ... Leer más

    Antes $13.99 USD Ahora $1.99 USD

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro

    Disponible también en: Audiolibro