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1 - 12 de 12 resultados para “philip e tetlock”
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  • Expert Political Judgment

    How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

    de Philip E. Tetlock ...
    Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions ... Leer más

    $20.19 USD

  • Superforecasting

    The Art and Science of Prediction

    de Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner ...
    NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST“The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people ... Leer más

    $8.99 USD

  • Comment être visionnaire

    de Dan Gardner, Philip E. Tetlock ...
    Traducido por François Tharaud ...
    " Les techniques et les façons de penser exposées dans ce livre sont précieuses pour quiconque s'intéresse à ce que l'avenir nous réserve. En d'autres termes, pour tout le monde. " The EconomistTout le monde aimerait connaître l'avenir pour prendre les bonnes décisions politiques, économiques, ou pour lancer un nouveau produit.Malheureusement, nous avons tendance à être de piètres prévisionnistes. ... Leer más

    $19.99 USD

  • HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

    de Harvard Business Review, Robert S. Kaplan, Condoleezza Rice, Philip E. Tetlock, Paul J. H. Schoemaker ...
    Series series HBR's 10 Must Reads
    Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business Review articles and selected the most important ones to help your company make smart decisions and thrive, even when the future is unclear.This book will inspire you to:Avoid the most common errors in risk ... Leer más

    $17.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

  • Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose

    de Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner ...
    Traducido por Jürgen Neubauer ...
    Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine Anleitung für treffsichere Prognosen in einer unsicheren Zeit.»Superforecaster« sind Menschen, denen erstaunlich gute Vorhersagen in allen Bereichen gelingen – bessere als den Experten. Was macht sie so besonders? In einem ... Leer más

    $15.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

  • RESUMO - Expert Political Judgment / Julgamento político pericial:

    Como é bom saber Por Philip E. Tetlock

    de Shortcut Edition ...
    Ao ler este resumo, o senhor descobrirá por que ser um especialista em política não lhe permite fazer previsões mais confiáveis do que a pessoa comum.O senhor saberá também :que a análise de 30.000 previsões determinou o valor real das previsões políticas;que as previsões de seus especialistas foram colocadas em concorrência entre si e comparadas com as previsões feitas por algoritmos;que ... Leer más

    $6.37 USD

  • RESUMO - Superforecasting / Superprojeção:

    A Arte e a Ciência da Predição Por Philip E. Tetlock e Dan Gardner

    de Shortcut Edition ...
    Ao ler este resumo, o senhor descobrirá a arte de fazer previsões confiáveis e rigorosas.O senhor descobrirá também que :muitos especialistas dão previsões demasiado vagas e difíceis de verificar;o campo das previsões é muito carente de avaliações rigorosas;os melhores prognosticadores confiam no método e não nas capacidades inatas;qualquer previsão deve ser apoiada por uma probabilidade numérica, ... Leer más

    $6.37 USD

  • A Joosr Guide to... Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner: The Art and Science of Prediction

    de Joosr ...
    In today's fast-paced world, it's tough to find the time to read. But with Joosr guides, you can get the key insights from bestselling non-fiction titles in less than 20 minutes. Whether you want to gain knowledge on the go or find the books you'll love, Joosr's brief and accessible eBook summaries fit into your life. Find out more at joosr.com.We all make forecasts in our daily lives, whether we ... Leer más

    $2.99 USD o gratis con Kobo Plus

  • Süpertahmin

    de Philip Tetlock ...
    Arka Kapak Yazısı (Tanıtım Bülteninden)Optimist Yayın Grubu’nun Şubat ayı kitaplarından Süpertahmin iş yaşamında, ürün lansmanında, günlük hayatta, siyasette ve hemen her alanda neler olabileceğini önceden düşünüp doğru bilmeye yönlendiren ilginç bir kitap.Philip Tetlock ABD hükümeti tarafından desteklenen The Good Judgement Project (İyi Muhakeme Projesi) kapsamında aralarında dansçılar, film ... Leer más

    $4.99 USD

  • Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

    Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives

    Edición de Philip E. Tetlock, Aaron Belkin ...
    Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett ... Leer más

    $58.99 USD

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  • Startup Sirketler Icin Rota

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