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Superforecasting

The Art and Science of Prediction

by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner ...

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST“The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people ... Read more

$8.99 USD

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST“The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people
... Read more
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

by Harvard Business Review, Robert S. Kaplan, Condoleezza Rice, Philip E. Tetlock, Paul J. H. Schoemaker ...

Series series HBR's 10 Must Reads
Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business Review articles and selected the most important ones to help your company make smart decisions and thrive, even when the future is unclear.This book will inspire you to:Avoid the most common errors in risk ... Read more

$17.29 USD or Free with Kobo Plus

Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business Review articles and selected the most important ones to help your company make smart decisions and thrive, even when the future is unclear.This book will inspire you to:Avoid the most common errors in risk
... Read more
Expert Political Judgment

How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

by Philip E. Tetlock ...

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions ... Read more

$19.99 USD

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions
... Read more
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives

Edited by Philip E. Tetlock, Aaron Belkin ...

Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett ... Read more

$58.99 USD

Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett
... Read more

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

General Thinking Concepts

by Shane Parrish, Rhiannon Beaubien ...

Series Book 1 - The Great Mental Models Series
Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast.This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you.Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger ... Read more

$15.99 USD

Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast.This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you.Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger
... Read more
The Great Mental Models, Volume 3

Systems and Mathematics

by Shane Parrish, Rhiannon Beaubien, Rosie Leizrowice ...

Series Book 3 - The Great Mental Models Series
**From the New York Times bestselling author of Clear Thinking and Farnam Street founder, Shane Parrish.The third book in the timeless Great Mental Models series.**Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields.Mastering a small number of mental models ... Read more

$15.99 USD

**From the New York Times bestselling author of Clear Thinking and Farnam Street founder, Shane Parrish.The third book in the timeless Great Mental Models series.**Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields.Mastering a small number of mental models
... Read more
Humor, Seriously

Why Humor Is a Secret Weapon in Business and Life (And how anyone can harness it. Even you.)

by Jennifer Aaker, Naomi Bagdonas ...

WALL STREET JOURNAL, LOS ANGELES TIMES, AND USA TODAY BESTSELLER • Anyone—even you!—can learn how to harness the power of humor in business (and life), based on the popular class at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business.Don’t miss the authors’ TED Talk, “Why great leaders take humor seriously,” online now.“The ultimate guide to using the magical power of funny as a tool for leadership and a force ... Read more

$9.99 USD

Also available as: Audiobook

WALL STREET JOURNAL, LOS ANGELES TIMES, AND USA TODAY BESTSELLER • Anyone—even you!—can learn how to harness the power of humor in business (and life), based on the popular class at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business.Don’t miss the authors’ TED Talk, “Why great leaders take humor seriously,” online now.“The ultimate guide to using the magical power of funny as a tool for leadership and a force
... Read more

Also available as: Audiobook
The Great Mental Models, Volume 4

Economics and Art

by Shane Parrish, Rhiannon Beaubien ...

Series Book 4 - The Great Mental Models Series
**From the New York Times bestselling author of Clear Thinking and Farnam Street founder, Shane Parrish.The fourth and final installment in the timeless Great Mental Models series.**Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields.Mastering a small ... Read more

$15.99 USD

Also available as: Audiobook

**From the New York Times bestselling author of Clear Thinking and Farnam Street founder, Shane Parrish.The fourth and final installment in the timeless Great Mental Models series.**Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields.Mastering a small
... Read more

Also available as: Audiobook
A Field Guide to Lies

Critical Thinking with Statistics and the Scientific Method

by Daniel J. Levitin ...

**Winner of the National Business Book AwardFrom the New York Times bestselling author of The Organized Mind and This Is Your Brain on Music, a primer to the critical thinking that is more necessary now than ever**We are bombarded with more information each day than our brains can process—especially in election season. It's raining bad data, half-truths, and even outright lies. New York Times ... Read more

$8.99 USD

**Winner of the National Business Book AwardFrom the New York Times bestselling author of The Organized Mind and This Is Your Brain on Music, a primer to the critical thinking that is more necessary now than ever**We are bombarded with more information each day than our brains can process—especially in election season. It's raining bad data, half-truths, and even outright lies. New York Times
... Read more
The Great Mental Models, Volume 2

Physics, Chemistry, and Biology

by Shane Parrish, Rhiannon Beaubien ...

Series Book 2 - The Great Mental Models Series
**From the New York Times bestselling author of Clear Thinking and Farnam Street founder, Shane Parrish.The second book in the timeless Great Mental Models series.**Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields.Mastering a small number of mental ... Read more

Was $15.99 USD Now $1.99 USD

**From the New York Times bestselling author of Clear Thinking and Farnam Street founder, Shane Parrish.The second book in the timeless Great Mental Models series.**Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields.Mastering a small number of mental
... Read more
Smarter Faster Better

The Transformative Power of Real Productivity

by Charles Duhigg ...

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The author of The Power of Habit and Supercommunicators and “master of the life hack” (GQ) explores the fascinating science of productivity and offers real-world takeaways to apply your life, whether you’re chasing peak productivity or simply trying to get back on track.“Duhigg melds cutting-edge science, deep reporting, and wide-ranging stories to give us a fuller, ... Read more

$8.99 USD

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • The author of The Power of Habit and Supercommunicators and “master of the life hack” (GQ) explores the fascinating science of productivity and offers real-world takeaways to apply your life, whether you’re chasing peak productivity or simply trying to get back on track.“Duhigg melds cutting-edge science, deep reporting, and wide-ranging stories to give us a fuller,
... Read more
Who Gets What—and Why

by Alvin E. Roth ...

From the winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, a "fluent and accessible" guide to understanding matching markets (Economist.com)."An exciting practical approach to economics that enables both individuals and institutions to achieve their goals without running afoul of the profit motive." — Kirkus Reviews (starred review)Most of the study of economics deals with commodity markets, where the price ... Read more

$17.29 USD or Free with Kobo Plus

From the winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, a "fluent and accessible" guide to understanding matching markets (Economist.com)."An exciting practical approach to economics that enables both individuals and institutions to achieve their goals without running afoul of the profit motive." — Kirkus Reviews (starred review)Most of the study of economics deals with commodity markets, where the price
... Read more

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Top Series in United States

HBR's 10 Must Reads

Superforecasting

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

Expert Political Judgment

Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

People who read these also enjoyed

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

The Great Mental Models, Volume 3

Humor, Seriously

The Great Mental Models, Volume 4

A Field Guide to Lies

The Great Mental Models, Volume 2

Smarter Faster Better

Who Gets What—and Why

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